Solving problem N3972 Bayesian probability theory

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Uploaded: 21.02.2019
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3972. Single-type products from three plants are on sale. Marriage respectively is 2, 5, 10%. The first plant supplies 40% of production, the second - 25%, the third - 35%. A single item is removed at random.
1) What is the probability to purchase a defective product.
2) Which plant most likely produced an acquired good-quality product.

Additional information

Detailed solution. Decorated in Microsoft Word 2003 (Quest decided to use the formula editor)

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